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As the country gears up for its coronation bank holiday weekend party, there may be little to celebrate following the first major test of political opinion since Rishi Sunak became prime minister. there is.
Millions of voters in 230 local governments will elect over 8,000 city councilors in all English-language territories except London on 4 May.
While many contests are influenced by local factors, from housing construction and declining high streets to tree felling and potholes, the results are an indication of how the electoral landscape is changing. It will be scrutinized by political leaders and experts.
The Conservatives are likely to be the biggest losers, and the party has already started lowering its expectations. But Sir Kea Sturmer, too, is eagerly awaiting evidence that Labor’s stunning poll lead is translating into actual votes.
The Conservative Party performed disastrously in 2019 the last time those seats were contested.In the midst of a futile attempt to complete Theresa May’s Brexit deal, more than 1,300 seats and 44 lost control of its council.
So further setbacks in local government, with the projected loss of another 1,000 Tories, would be a blow to the Sunak government.
The 2019 local elections were also a non-remarkable night for Labor when they matched the Tories with a dismal 28% of the vote and lost six councils. Seven months later, Labor plunged to its worst general election result since 1935 as voters rejected Jeremy Corbyn’s prospectus.
In the next general election in 18 months, Lord Kiel will try to regain his lost supporters by strengthening Labor’s presence in parliament, once the heart of the ‘Red Wall’. must be indicated. Party strategists personally want a profit of 500 or more.
Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrats, who are sober in national polls, are eager to prove their growing power in the ‘blue wall’ arena of disillusioned Conservative voters, while the Greens , confident of building on its recent momentum in local elections with Labor’s support. And so is Tory.
Tim Bale, professor of political science at Queen Mary University of London, said: I: “As for the Labor Party, locals need to provide a sense of whether there is real substance to their seemingly comfortable lead in the polls. You’ll see a great many worried faces at Friars headquarters.
“The Tories are on the opposite side. They will be looking for a hopeful streak of light in what everyone assumes is darkness.”
Nowhere is the fighting more intense than in the Northeast, where the Tories have made remarkable progress in recent years.
all eyes turn on Hartlepool, where Labor suffered a crushing defeat in the 2021 parliamentary by-election, is now run by a Conservative and independent coalition government. Seven interests are required for the workforce to gain total control.
Workers only need to gain 2 benefits to recapture middlesbrough and 10 take it back DarlingtonBoth goals must be met to convince skeptics that we are recovering in the historic centre.
In the politically unstable Northwest, political parties are traditional “weather vane” towns Bolton, the council is run by a minority Conservative government. The Conservatives could take the overall lead with six wins, while Labor could take the lead with 12 wins. The council also has a strong independent presence.
Blackpool, Cheshire West, Chester and Wirral Only a small amount of progress is required to fully capture all three authorities.
An interesting contest is coming LancasterHere the Greens hope to leapfrog Labor and become the largest group.
Across the Pennines, the Liberal Democrats are holding on desperately kingston upon hull, their sole authority in Yorkshire and Humber. But their margin of error is small. For Labor to regain power, he will need to win just two seats from them.
Parties face each other head-on SheffieldHere Labor needs 4 interests for overall control and the Liberal Democrats need 14. York CityHere, Labor is just four behind the Liberal Democrats.
red wall town derby, Currently run by a minority Conservative government, it’s a litmus test for yet another opinion that Labor is aiming to become the largest party.I want the Labor Party back north east derbyshire After losing for the first time to the Tories four years ago.
similarly StokeLabor, another former left-wing stronghold now represented by three Conservative MPs, needs five interests to overtake the Tories as the largest group on the council.
Mostly Suburban Conservative Grip Solihull are steadily weakening and their majority in the West Midlands Council is now five, with the Greens being the main challengers.
A series of former Conservative territories in the South East are vulnerable to the Liberal Democrats.They include Dacorum In Hertfordshire, party leader Sir Ed Davey kicked off the campaign by driving a yellow tractor down a ‘blue wall’ of painted hay bales. Berkshire, For the Liberal Democrats to become the largest party, we need two interests.
Conservatives also defend majority windsor and maidenhead – Theresa May Home Patch – and test valleyLabor and Tories go head-to-head Crowleyback and forth between the parties for 50 years, Gravesham In Kent, the Conservative Party has 21 seats and the Labor Party has 22 seats.
Sir Care launched a campaign for the Labor Party SwindonWinning six of the 19 seats would give the party control from the Conservatives.
he also Plymouth, He said they share some “red wall” traits. To take control from a Tory government that sparked outrage when he cut down 110 healthy city center trees overnight, Labor needs to get his four gains there is.
- There will be elections for Northern Ireland’s 11th Parliament on May 18th. There are no local elections in Wales or Scotland.