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Suella Braverman’s “dream” of deporting asylum seekers to Rwanda could come true by the end of the year, or at the latest before the next elections, government sources said.
The European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg could rule “smooth sailing” on the controversial policy by the end of 2023, likely in favor of British courts, ministers said. It is considered unlikely to overturn what you believe. said the source.
The High Court ruled last December that the policy was legal, but has since granted permission to appeal the decision.
Even if the UK appeal is granted and the subsequent Supreme Court hearing, the home secretary will not allow the East African country to file an appeal before the next elections scheduled for May 2024 at the earliest. I am optimistic that the repatriation flight will take off. , if the policy is not blocked by a judge.
Rwanda’s plans are likely to come into force before the very draconian asylum laws expected to be introduced to parliament in the coming weeks, but they will almost certainly be challenged in court.
New legislation planned to further curb small boat crossings of the Channel also risks putting Rishi Sunak on a collision course with some Conservative MPs.
I The prime minister understands that at the next election he could commit to withdrawing from the European Convention on Human Rights if a new law, officials said, would push the UK to the perimeter of international law and was blocked by a court in Strasbourg. doing.
However, both former Attorney General Sir Robert Buckland and Commons Judiciary Committee Chairman Sir Bob Neill have said he would likely face a very large Tory insurgency, so he decided to ban MPs. It warns that it will not be possible to pass.
A senior Conservative MP said I Mr. Sunak argued that such radical ideas should be moved away, saying, “The Tories have done quite a bit of destruction over the last few years. We are the Tories, we are not the vandals.” bottom.
But Mr Sunak is under pressure from his party’s right to seek radical action, and Boris Johnson has said he believes the potential for Britain to leave the ECHR if the government fails to grasp the small boat issue. likely to participate in a secret rebellion.
The law is expected to give Ms Braverman the power to deport all asylum seekers who arrive in the country by irregular routes such as crossing the Channel, but critics say this is not the same as the 1951 Refugees. They argue that they are likely to violate the treaty.
Putting Rwanda’s policy into action is seen as an important first step in Sunak’s ‘stop the boats’ strategy.
Mr Johnson defended his Rwandan policy on the Commons on Monday, accusing the Labor Party of not having a “ghost of ideas” on how to solve the problem of “cross-strait gangs”.
“The difference between us and them is that we have a plan and they don’t,” he added.
Braverman said Johnson was “absolutely right,” adding, “Workers complain and sit on the sidelines, criticize and vote against every action we propose.
“All I ask of them is to support our legislation, take back control of our borders and stand for the British people.”
But Labor has denounced attempts by ministers to reform the asylum system as “madness”.
Republicans have pledged to repeal this policy if they win the next general election. So if the airmail hasn’t been sent by then and Labor is in power, the much-touted policy has failed.
Shadow Immigration Minister Stephen Kinnock said:
“Since then, the number of checkpoints has increased from 1,000 to 45,000 and criminal gangs are laughing all the way to the bank.
“And last year, ministers promised that a Nationality and Borders Bill would address the crisis … which has spun off an asylum backlog and cost UK taxpayers £480m for six months of accommodation. was forced to pay an additional fee for
After describing Snack’s commitment to immigration as “another empty promise”, Kinnock asked: